BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Forest City

Class: 2A Class Rank: 29 Conference: 2A-3 Record: (5-9-0) Overall: (34-58-0) Overall Strength =   72.87

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Away    W    90.00  21  13   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                 17.20     -9.20                      
  2 09/02/2011 Home    L *  71.55  21  43   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             -1.26    -20.74                      
  3 09/09/2011 Away    W    94.15  29   0   1A  38 ( 30- 62-  0) Waterloo Columbus      21.34      7.66                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    L    57.48  10  27   ZZ  23 ( 16- 15-  0) Clarion-Goldfield     -15.33     -1.67                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    W *  96.53  33   7   2A  36 ( 34- 58-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden       23.73      2.27                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    W   111.68  40  14   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton            38.88    -12.88                      
  7 10/07/2011 Home    W    79.60  15   8   1A  26 ( 41- 52-  0) Osage                   6.80      0.20                      
  8 10/14/2011 Away    W   102.21  23   7   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 29.41    -13.41                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    W    87.69  45   6   1A  47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring   14.89     24.11                      
 10 10/26/2011 Home    W    79.95  21  14   ZZ  24 ( 10- 10-  0) Cascade                 7.14     -0.14                      
 11 10/31/2011 Home    L    59.48  29  44   ZZ  23 ( 16- 15-  0) Clarion-Goldfield     -13.33     -1.67                      
 12 08/24/2012 Home    W   107.46  29   0   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                 34.66     -5.66                      
 13 08/31/2012 Away    W * 112.09  32  17   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             39.29    -24.29                      
 14 09/07/2012 Home    L    83.34   0  17   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake            10.54    -27.54                      
 15 09/14/2012 Away    W    98.88  28   0   1A  32 ( 41- 53-  0) Lake View East Sac     26.07      1.93                      
 16 09/21/2012 Home    W    95.48  21   0   ZZ  23 ( 16- 15-  0) Clarion-Goldfield      22.67     -1.67                      
 17 09/28/2012 Home    W    91.39  14  12   1A   4 ( 80- 28-  0) South Cent Calhoun     18.58    -16.58                      
 18 10/05/2012 Away    W   116.21  41   0   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC         43.41     -2.41                      
 19 10/12/2012 Home    W    95.69  47   0   1A  47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring   22.89     24.11                      
 20 10/19/2012 Away    L    78.18   0   7   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV              5.38    -12.38                      
 21 10/24/2012 Away    L    76.82  14  15 1 2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon                 4.02     -5.02                      
 22 08/30/2013 Away    W    88.00  12   6   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                 15.20     -9.20  ND                  
 23 09/06/2013 Home    L *  66.55   7  34   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             -6.26    -20.74  ND                  
 24 09/13/2013 Away    L    62.88   0  41   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake            -9.92    -31.08                      
 25 09/20/2013 Home    L    60.34  14  21   1A  32 ( 41- 53-  0) Lake View East Sac    -12.47      5.47                      
 26 09/27/2013 Away    W    82.02  20  16   ZZ  23 ( 16- 15-  0) Clarion-Goldfield       9.22     -5.22                      
 27 10/04/2013 Away    L    91.93  12  13   1A   4 ( 80- 28-  0) South Cent Calhoun     19.13    -20.13                      
 28 10/11/2013 Home    W    72.67  14  13   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC         -0.14      1.14                      
 29 10/18/2013 Away    W    78.23  42  16   1A  47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring    5.43     20.57  ND                  
 30 10/25/2013 Home    L    74.64   0   7   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV              1.84     -8.84                      
 31 10/30/2013 Away    L    76.07   7  18   2A  15 ( 62- 40-  0) Sioux Center            3.27    -14.27                      
 32 08/29/2014 Away    W    90.00  14   6   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                 17.20     -9.20                      
 33 09/05/2014 Home    L    90.34  25  35   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake            17.54    -27.54                      
 34 09/12/2014 Away    W    88.18  19  16   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV             15.38    -12.38                      
 35 09/19/2014 Home    L    71.60  14  15   1A  26 ( 41- 52-  0) Osage                  -1.20      0.20                      
 36 09/26/2014 Away    L    49.21   3  29   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC        -23.59     -2.41                      
 37 10/03/2014 Home    L    26.33   6  41   ZZ  34 ( 10- 26-  0) Clarion Clarion-Gold  -46.47     11.47                      
 38 10/10/2014 Away    L *  55.09   0  42   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake            -17.71    -24.29                      
 39 10/17/2014 Home    L    62.88   7  28   3A  28 ( 46- 49-  0) Humboldt               -9.92    -11.08                      
 40 10/24/2014 Home    L    48.68  15  41   ZZ  22 ( 31- 38-  0) Hampton-Dumont        -24.13     -1.87                      
 41 08/28/2015 Home    L    71.46  14  21   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                 -1.34     -5.66  ND                  
 42 09/04/2015 Away    L    50.88  10  63   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake           -21.92    -31.08  ND                  
 43 09/11/2015 Home    L    49.64   6  38   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV            -23.16     -8.84                      
 44 09/18/2015 Away    L    35.14   0  41   1A  26 ( 41- 52-  0) Osage                 -37.66     -3.34                      
 45 09/25/2015 Home    W    72.67   7   6   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC         -0.14      1.14                      
 46 10/02/2015 Away    W    88.85  41  20   ZZ  32 (  7- 20-  0) Clarion-Goldfield-Do   16.05      4.95                      
 47 10/09/2015 Home    L *  81.55  14  26   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake              8.74    -20.74                      
 48 10/16/2015 Away    L    73.42  20  34   3A  28 ( 46- 49-  0) Humboldt                0.62    -14.62  ND                  
 49 10/23/2015 Away    L    57.22  16  37   ZZ  22 ( 31- 38-  0) Hampton-Dumont        -15.58     -5.42                      
 50 08/26/2016 Home    W    81.46  16  13   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                  8.66     -5.66  ND                  
 51 09/02/2016 Away    L    88.88  14  29   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake            16.08    -31.08  ND                  
 52 09/09/2016 Away    L    64.22   0  25   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton            -8.58    -16.42                      
 53 09/16/2016 Home    L    80.64  14  15   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV              7.84     -8.84                      
 54 09/23/2016 Away    W *  98.09  20  19   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             25.29    -24.29                      
 55 09/30/2016 Away    W    85.14  27  18   1A  26 ( 41- 52-  0) Osage                  12.34     -3.34                      
 56 10/07/2016 Home    W    83.68  21  12   ZZ  22 ( 31- 38-  0) Hampton-Dumont         10.87     -1.87                      
 57 10/14/2016 Home    W    70.31  20  14 1 ZZ  32 (  7- 20-  0) Clarion-Goldfield-Do   -2.49      8.49                      
 58 10/21/2016 Away    L    59.98  25  48   2A  18 ( 41- 52-  0) Cresco Crestwood      -12.82    -10.18                      
 59 08/25/2017 Away    L    62.00   7  27   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                -10.80     -9.20  ND                  
 60 09/01/2017 Home    L    65.34   7  42   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake            -7.46    -27.54  ND                  
 61 09/08/2017 Home    L    71.68  14  28   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton            -1.12    -12.88                      
 62 09/15/2017 Away    L    65.18  14  34   2A  17 ( 45- 39-  0) Garner GHV             -7.62    -12.38                      
 63 09/22/2017 Home    L *  64.55   0  29   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             -8.26    -20.74                      
 64 09/29/2017 Home    L    66.60   7  13   1A  26 ( 41- 52-  0) Osage                  -6.20      0.20                      
 65 10/06/2017 Away    L    64.22   0  14   ZZ  22 ( 31- 38-  0) Hampton-Dumont         -8.58     -5.42                      
 66 10/13/2017 Away    L    66.85   7   8   ZZ  32 (  7- 20-  0) Clarion-Goldfield-Do   -5.95      4.95                      
 67 10/20/2017 Home    L    73.44  20  26   2A  18 ( 41- 52-  0) Cresco Crestwood        0.63     -6.63                      
 68 08/24/2018 Home    L    70.67  20  21   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC         -2.14      1.14  ND                  
 69 08/31/2018 Away    L    61.88   0  42   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake           -10.92    -31.08  ND                  
 70 09/07/2018 Away    L    49.88   7  22   ZZ  34 ( 10- 26-  0) Clarion Clarion-Gold  -22.93      7.93  ND                  
 71 09/14/2018 Home    L    50.17  13  50    A   5 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock    -22.63    -14.37  ND                  
 72 09/21/2018 Home    L    50.68   0  35   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton           -22.12    -12.88                      
 73 09/28/2018 Away    L    43.32   0  20   ZZ  35 (  7- 19-  0) Hampton Hampton-Dumo  -29.49      9.49                      
 74 10/05/2018 Away    L *  61.09   0  36   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake            -11.71    -24.29                      
 75 10/12/2018 Home    L *  39.99  15  42   2A  36 ( 34- 58-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden      -32.81      5.81                      
 76 10/19/2018 Away    L    62.98  13  33   2A  18 ( 41- 52-  0) Cresco Crestwood       -9.82    -10.18                      
 77 08/30/2019 Away    L    61.21  12  26   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC        -11.59     -2.41  ND                  
 78 09/06/2019 Home    L    52.34   6  54   2A   5 ( 88- 23-  0) Spirit Lake           -20.46    -27.54  ND                  
 79 09/13/2019 Home    W   100.33  45   6   ZZ  34 ( 10- 26-  0) Clarion Clarion-Gold   27.53     11.47  ND                  
 80 09/20/2019 Away    L    55.72   7  42    A   5 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock    -17.09    -17.91  ND                  
 81 09/27/2019 Away    L    53.22   7  43   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton           -19.58    -16.42                      
 82 10/04/2019 Home    W    61.77  14  12   ZZ  35 (  7- 19-  0) Hampton Hampton-Dumo  -11.03     13.03                      
 83 10/11/2019 Home    L *  58.55   0  35   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake            -14.26    -20.74                      
 84 10/18/2019 Away    L *  41.53   6  35   2A  36 ( 34- 58-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden      -31.27      2.27                      
 85 10/25/2019 Home    L    78.44   6   7   2A  18 ( 41- 52-  0) Cresco Crestwood        5.63     -6.63                      
 86 08/28/2020 Away    L    51.66   6  20    A  36 ( 32- 59-  0) Lake Mills            -21.15      7.15  ND                  
 87 09/04/2020 Home    L    81.17   7  13 1  A   5 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock      8.37    -14.37                      
 88 09/11/2020 Home    W *  79.34  15   0   2A  40 ( 28- 60-  0) Roland-Story            6.54      8.46                      
 89 09/18/2020 Home    W *  94.55  28  27   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             21.74    -20.74                      
 90 10/09/2020 Away    W    77.32  27  13   ZZ  35 (  7- 19-  0) Hampton Hampton-Dumo    4.51      9.49                      
 91 10/16/2020 Home    W    92.68   7   0   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton            19.88    -12.88                      
 92 10/23/2020 Away    L    58.54  14  56   2A   7 ( 86- 28-  0) Waukon                -14.27    -27.73                      
      Averages              72.87  15.0 22.6

Best game:  116.21 = 41 point win over Estherville-Lincoln Central
Worst game:  26.33 = 35 point loss to Clarion Clarion-Goldfield-Dows
Team stdev:  18.35